It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Panic...

The Post says "at least a moderate snowstorm".  A little bit out of context?  Yep, but that's how we roll here at the 'panic.  Stay tuned to see if we have the first serious milk and toilet paper run of the '10-'11 season.

Boxing Day Snowgnarök

OK, after "Snowpocalypse" and "Snowmaggedon", we're kind of running out of ideas here...

I don't mean to alarm you (who am I kidding, this is snowpanic.com, of course I do), but there is a Winter Storm Watch for tomorrow.  Quoth the meteorologists:

ACCUMULATIONS...POSSIBILITY OF 5 OR MORE INCHES.

Let me just emphasize: I am not using all-caps to scare you. THE WEATHER PEOPLE ARE.

They Said "Crippling"

According to the Washington Post,

The latest GFS model simulates a major to crippling East Coast snowstorm for Sunday.

(And then a bunch of caveats, but why should those concern us?)

"Total accumulations of around 12 inches or more are a pretty good bet"

OK, the panic is back!

Double Trouble

There are two storms headed our way in the DC area. On the one hand, there's only a 15% chance for each storm to exceed 4 inches -- on the other, that means that there's a nontrivial chance that we'll get three significant storms in one week. Panicking yet?

Panic Heads South; DC Area Just Mildly Nervous

The Capital Weather Gang, Snowpanic.com's favorite weather blog, predicts about 1-4 inches in DC, but 6-12 in Richmond.

Snow Panic, Texas Style

The Lubbock area is being hit with up to 8 inches of snow. Texas Tech has canceled classes, power lines are down, and the roads are dicey.

Meanwhile, the chances that DC will get anywhere near that much continue to drop.

Here's a link to the above picture of Amarillo snow.

Time to Start Thinking About the Milk and Toilet Paper...

The Washington Post's Capital Weather Gang has the following analysis:

Here is the current (VERY EARLY) probabilities on accumulations:

40% chance: Less than 1"
20% chance: 1-4"
20% chance: 4-8"
20% chance: 8"+

I recommend you skip the caveats, as well as the fact that less than 4" is the most likely scenario to focus on the fact that 4-8" isn't even the worst case.